Author(s) and affiliation(s)

Presentation title

Monday 24 June 2024

Venue opens at 08.00

Registrations start from 09.00

at the Crausaz Wordsworth Building, Adams Rd, Cambridge CB3 9AD, on the northern perimeter of Robinson College

Opening; 10.00

Flora Samuel and AUM2024 convenors

Session 1: 10.15-11.55

Fundamentals (1)

Willow Liu, Jens Kandt and Michael Batty

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College London, London, UK

Exploring Equilibrium in Land Use Transportation Interaction Models

Joseph Ferreira and Rounaq Basu,

Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Towards a More Sustainable Urban Modelling Infrastructure

Ronghui Liu, Institute for Transport Studies, University of Leeds

Data-Driven Discoveries in Spatial Analysis of Mobility Networks

Flora Samuel, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK

Charting the green transition through public mapping platforms

Chair: [tbc]

Coffee break: 11.55-12.15

Launch of AUM2024 research posters

Session 2: 12.15-13.30

Fundamentals (2)

Alistair Ford, Craig Robson, James Virgo, Stuart Barr, and Olivia Butters, School of Engineering, Newcastle University, UK

Simulating Future Scenarios of Urbanisation for Climate Change Impact Assessment in Great Britain

Eric Miller, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada

Activity- and Agent-Based Microsimulation of Travel: Moving Beyond Current Practice

[tbc]

Chair: [tbc]

Lunch: 13.30-14.45

Session 3: 14.45-16.30

Klaus Spiekermann, Spiekermann and Wegener Urban and Regional Research, Dortmund

Professor Michael Wegener’s academic contributions

Michael Batty, UCL, London, UK

[tbc]

Rolf Moeckel, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany

Michael Wegener and Microsimulation: An ambivalent relationship

[other speakers tbc]

Chair: Ying Jin, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK

Tea break: 16.30-17.00

Session 4: 17.00-18.30

Professor Michael Wegener: our personal memories

Eric Miller, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada

The Spitfire Syndrome: Michael Wegener’s Contribution to Microsimulation

Marcial Echenique, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK

Professor Michael Wegener: a perfect  gentleman whom we remember dearly

A number of delegates are expected to speak in this session [further list tbc]

Chair: Ian Williams, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK

Conference reception with drinks: 18.30

All delegates

Conference buffet supper: 19.00-20.30

All delegates

Tuesday 25 June 2024

Venue opens 08.30

at the Crausaz Wordsworth Building, Adams Rd, Cambridge CB3 9AD (on the northern perimeter of Robinson College)

Session 5: 9.00-11.05

Explorations in the city region

Haixiao PAN, Tongji University, Shanghai, China

Song SUN, Beijing Urban Planning and Design Institute, Beijing, China

Walkability around the Metro Station Area

Shaopeng Zhong^{1, 2, *}, Ao Liu1, Daniel (Jian) Sun³ & Yan Song⁴

1 Department of Transportation and Logistics, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, China.

2 International Urbanology Research Center, Center for Urban Governance of Zhejiang, Hangzhou 311121, China.

3 College of Future Transportation, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710021, China.

4 Department of City and Regional Planning, University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27599-3140, USA.

* Shaopeng Zhong (corresponding author); Email: szhong@dlut.edu.cn

Optimizing pricing strategy of shared autonomous vehicles and road congestion pricing: Considering accessibility impact

Orlando Roman, Philip Urech, Qiming Ye, Bryan Adey, Chair of Infrastructure Management, Department of Civil, Environmental and Geomatic Engineering, ETH Zurich

Exploring future scenarios for the e-bike city through a LUTI model of Zürich, Switzerland

Jairo A.G. Guerra¹, Sutan A.O. Siahaan¹, Luciano R. Velez¹, Claudio Martani^2*, Cinzia Talamo¹, Giancarlo Paganin³

1 Department of Architecture, Built Environment and Construction Engineering. Politecnico di Milano. Via Edoardo Bonardi, 9, 20133 Milan, Italy.

2 Laboratory of Future-Ready Infrastructure (FuRI Lab). Purdue University. Dudley Hall. 363 N. Grant Street 7. West Lafayette, Indiana 47907-2021, USA.

3 Department of Architecture and Urban Studies. Politecnico di Milano. Via Edoardo Bonardi, 3, 20133 Milan, Italy

Evaluating the investments on future-proof retail spaces: three cases study in Milan

Andres Sevtsuk, Abdulaziz Alhassan,

Rounaq Basu, Liu Liu, MIT, USA

Foot-traffic in New York City: Understanding pedestrian volumes on America’s largest urban sidewalk network

Chair: Zahratu Shabrina, King’s College London, London, UK

Coffee break: 11.05-11.20

Session 6: 11.20-13.25

Measuring infrastructure impacts

Iven Stead, DfT, London

Model-based transport appraisal at UK Department for Transport

Nila Sari, Department for Transport, Siamak Khorgami, AECOM, Gerry Casey, Arup + UCL, Chris Bruce, Arup

Updates to Transport Appraisal Guidance (TAG) to cover Activity and Agent Based Models

Adham Enaya, Chen Zhong, Michael Batty

1Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College London, Gower Street, London (UK), WC1E 6BT

Transferability of Spatial Interaction Models – A Transfer Machine Learning Approach

Bowen ZHANG^1,3; Chen ZHONG² and Zahratu SHABRINA¹

1 Department of Geography, King's College London, United Kingdom bowen.zhang@kcl.ac.uk (corresponding author)

2 Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College, United Kingdom

3 The Alan Turing Institute, United Kingdom

Predicting the Impact of Changes in Transport Infrastructure on Urban Integration: A Case Study in the Shenzhen-Dongguan-Huizhou area

Adam Dennett, Esra Suel, Gerry Casey, Maria Wood, Claude Lynch and Tom Murat, Bartlett Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College London

Social Equity Considerations in Modelling Transport Systems Transitioning to Net-Zero – Progress and Prospects

Chair: David Simmonds, Allanfield Consulting, Edinburgh, UK

Lunch: 13.25-14.25

Session 7: 14.25-16.55

Understanding city regions

Rounaq Basu^{1, 2}, a, and Joseph Ferreira¹

1 Department of Urban Studies & Planning, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, USA

2 Boston Region Metropolitan Planning Organization, USA

a Corresponding Author. Email: rounaq@mit.edu

Planning sustainable and equitable cities using integrated urban models and urban digital twins

Avci Ramazan Furkan, Koji Yoshikawa, Osaka Sangyo University, Osaka, Japan

Development of Railway Network AI Model based on Natural and Social factors

Liang Dai^1,2, Kurt Fuellhart^3,4

1. School of Public Administration, Nanjing University of Finance and Economics, Nanjing, 210023, China

2. Department of Architecture, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB21 PX, The United Kingdom

3. Department of Geography, Ghent University, Ghent, 9000, Belgium

4. Unison Consulting, Inc, 23461 South Pointe, Suite 185, Laguna Hills, CA, 92653, USA

Exploring the evolution of intercity air passenger networks through temporal exponential random graph models

Sally El Hajjar, Hassan Kassem, Anasua Chakraborty, Jacques Teller, and Hichem Omrani, Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research, Luxembourg

Enhancing vector-based cellular automata model for simulating urban densification

Sanjay Somanath, Liane Thuvander, Alexander Hollberg, Department of Architecture and Civil Engineering - Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, Sweden

Towards activity-based modelling for neighbourhood planning: A case study in Gothenburg (via Zoom)

Nannan Yu, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin

Political cycles of infrastructure investment: How career concerns shape strategic behaviour of city leaders?

Chair: Adam Dennett, UCL, London, UK

Tea break: 16.55-17.10

Session 8: 17.10-19.15

Innovations in modelling

Toshiyuki KANEDA¹, Shuqi HAO¹,

Yoshimasa MATSUMOTO^1,2, Yufan ZHANG¹, Yuanyuan LIU³,

Akita OTA⁴

1 Nagoya Institute of Technology, Japan

2 Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting Co.,Ltd, Japan

3 Southeast University, China

4 Tokyo City University, Japan

Urban Digital Twin with Middle Spatial Scale

Jiaqi Suo, Claudio Martani, Laboratory of Future-Ready Infrastructure (FuRI Lab). Purdue University. Dudley Hall. 363 N. Grant Street 7. West Lafayette, Indiana 47907-2021, USA.

Optimal treatments scheduling for responsive hospitals

Ying Long, Yecheng Zhang, School of Architecture, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China

Building-scale urban analytics and simulation

Yihang Bai, Nannan Yu, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin

Shrinking cities in China: spatio-temporal evolution and driving factors

Tianren Yang (The University of Hong Kong), Pei Pei (Tongji University) and Lina Zhou (The University of Hong Kong)

From pandemic response to persistent trend: Telework adoption in Shenzhen

Chair: Chengxiang Zhuge, Hong Kong Poly University, Hong Kong, China

Pre-dinner drinks from 19.15

All delegates

Conference dinner: 19.45-21.00

All delegates

Wednesday 26 June 2024

Venue opens 08.30

at the Crausaz Wordsworth Building, Adams Rd, Cambridge CB3 9AD, on the northern perimeter of Robinson College

Session 9: 9.00-11.05

Modelling in practice

Louise Yusi Luo and Ling Li,

School of Planning and Design, Peking University, Shenzhen

Whether an extended stay at the parental home gives young adults better chances to own their first homes

34

Yan Liu

School of the Environment, The University of Queensland

An applied urban modelling integrating climate change and human adaptation strategies in coastal regions

29

Ming Zhong, Professor

Wuhan University of Technology, Intelligent Transport Systems Research Center

1040 Heping Avenue, Wuhan, China

mzhong@whut.edu.cn

Wanle Wang, Lecturer

College of Air Traffic Management, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin, 300300, P.R. China

yubilin@whut.edu.cn

J.D. Hunt, Professor Emeritus

University of Calgary, Department of Civil Engineering

734 Alexander Cr. NW, Canada

jdhunt@ucalgary.ca

Linfeng Li, Ph.D. Student

Wuhan University of Technology, Intelligent Transport Systems Research Center

1040 Heping Avenue, Wuhan, China

lilinfeng11@whut.edu.cn

A method for the appraisal of wider economic impacts of urban transport infrastructure projects using integrated models

43

Michael Reilly and Ian Carlton

ECOnorthwest

Forecasting Land Use Policy Impacts on Urban Development Patterns and Their Resulting Greenhouse Gas Emissions for Colorado State

25

Reg L Wade, Chris Pettit, Bill Randolph, City Futures Research Centre, UNSW Sydney, Australia

Scenario planning tool for the rapid analysis of land value impacts in rezoning scenarios

42

Chair: Li Wan, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK

Coffee break: 11.05-11.20

Session 10: 11.20-13.25

Modelling methods

Alex Anas, Professor, Department of Economics, State University of New York at Buffalo, Amherst, NY, USA

Huibin Chang, Economist, Passenger Transportation Board, BC Public Service, Victoria, BC, Canada

How to do road pricing? A comparison of congestion tolling, the distance tax and the fuel tax

20

Rolf Moeckel, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany

Integrated Land Use/Transport Models to Simulate Evolutionary Travel Behaviour

2

Fulvio D. Lopane, Tianqu Shao, Michael Batty

Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College London, Gower Street, London (UK), WC1E 6BT

Integrating multiple strategic urban models to assess land-use and transport infrastructure development impacts

13

Yue Ying, Peking University School of Urban Planning and Design

Jamil Nur, European Commission Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy

Ying Jin, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK

The influence of planning interventions on the evolution of neighbourhood deprivation levels in Greater London

37

Shanshan Xie (shanshanxie@tfl.gov.uk), Transport for London (current affiliation); Department of Architecture, University of Cambridge (the affiliation when this study was carried out).

Tim Hillel (tim.hillel@ucl.ac.uk), Department of Civil, Environment & Geomatic Engineering, University College London.

Jamil Nur (jn381@cam.ac.uk), European Commission (current affiliation); Department of Architecture, University of Cambridge (the affiliation when this study was carried out).

Ying Jin (yj242@cam.ac.uk), Department of Architecture, University of Cambridge.

An investigation of early adoptions of new travel behaviour through Early Stopping Bayesian Data Assimilation (ESBDA)

33

Chair: Joseph Ferreira, MIT, Cambridge, Mass., USA

Lunch: 13.25-14.25

Session 11: 14.25-16.55

Modelling with AI

Paul Waddell, University of California Berkeley and UrbanSim Inc

Using AI algorithms to train urban simulation models longitudinally

19

Tim Hillel, Nicolas Salvadé, Fred Shone, Behaviour and Infrastructure Group, UCL, London, UK

Beyond model accuracy: Unlocking new opportunities in Urban Modelling with Machine Learning

6

Zhou Fang, Shuwen Zheng, Liang Zhao

Affiliation：School of Architecture, Tsinghua University

Integrating causal inference and uncertainty estimation into transportation modelling: an Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) empowered framework for urban trip generation

21

Soundararaj, B.*, Billingsley, R. , Olivero, J., Petersen, H., Han, H. and Pettit, C. City Futures Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney

SpatialEval - a benchmarking system for evaluating Large Language Models' (LLMs) capabilities in Spatial Analysis and using Geographic Information Systems

24

Tomás de la Barra, Central University of Venezuela, Caracas

The algorithmic probit (via Zoom)

30

David Simmonds, Allanfield Consulting, Edinburgh, UK

Travel choice and accessibility in multi-regional LUTI models

12

Chair: Rolf Moeckel, Technical University Munich, Munich, Germany

Tea break: 16.55-17.10

Round Table: 17.10-6.15

Looking back, looking forward

Chair: Marcial Echenique, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK

Symposium close with drinks: 18.15-18.45

Then dinner in town for staying guests: 19.30

Research posters

Posters are displayed throughout the three days of the Symposium

Fred Shone, Behaviour and Infrastructure Group, UCL, London, UK

Fast and Safe Generation of Synthetic Agent Schedules

Nicolas Salvadé, Behaviour and Infrastructure Group, UCL, London, UK

RUMBoost: Gradient Boosting Random Utility Models

Changhyo Yi (Ph.D, Associate professor)

Department of Urban Engineering, Hanbat National University, 125 Dongseodaero, Daejeon 34158, Republic of Korea (First author, yich@hanbat.ac.kr)

Seongman Jang (Ph.D, Assistant professor)

School of Urban Planning and Landscape Architecture, Mokpo National University, 1666 Yeonsan-ro, Cheonggye-myeon, Muan-gun, Jeonnam 58554, Republic of Korea (Corresponding author, sjang@mnu.ac.kr)

Differences in Urban Space Use Patterns by Age Groups Using Mobile Phone Location-Based Mobility Big Data in Seoul, Korea

Ping He (Department of Building and Real Estate, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University)

Simulation of energy-related carbon emissions in multiple urban land development scenarios

Changlong Ling, Jiawen Yang

School of Urban Planning & Design, Peking University Shenzhen Graduate School, Shenzhen, China

Email: changlong_ling@stu.pku.edu.cn; yangjw@pkusz.edu.cn

Inclusive TOD: Integrating location affordability into land use planning with efficiency evaluation and many-objective optimization

Tayo Fabusuyi (joint work with Majid Mirzanezhad and Yangyang Wang)

University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute

On-Demand Delivery: Estimation, Routing and improving Last Mile Solutions

Yue’er Gao. Ph.D., Professor. School of Architecture, Huaqiao University; No. 668, Jimei Avenue, Xiamen, 361021, P.R. China；E-mail: gye0409@hqu.edu.cn

Dingshui Kang. M.S. Candidate. School of Architecture, Huaqiao University; No. 668, Jimei Avenue, Xiamen, 361021, P.R. China；E-mail: kangsishui@126.com

Yiwei Zheng. M.S. Candidate. School of Architecture, Huaqiao University; No. 668, Jimei Avenue, Xiamen, 361021, P.R. China；E-mail: zyw19990601@163.com

Competition and Cooperation Relationship Between Metro and BRT Based on Demand Side——Taking Xiamen Metro and BRT Line 1 as examples

Further posters from UCL, Martin Centre, etc